Laka Foundation

Publication Laka-library:
The economics of the nuclear fuel cycle (1994)

AuthorNEA
Date1994
Classification 6.01.0.10/60 (COSTS)
Front

From the publication:

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

OVERVIEW

The results of this study show that a 40 per cent real terms reduction has occurred 
in projected fuel cycle costs for a large PWR since the previous OECD/NEA study 
undertaken in the early 1980s. This reduction is due to major reductions in the 
projected prices for the uranium and enrichment components and reductions in the 
prices for back-end services. Improved fuel and reactor performance contribute 
further to the reduction.

The results indicate that there is a small cost difference between the prompt 
reprocessing option compared with the long-term storage and direct disposal 
option. Based on best estimate data, the reference cases show a difference of 
approximately 10 per cent of the total nuclear fuel cycle cost, the cost of the direct 
disposal option being lower. In light of the underlying cost uncertainties, this small 
cost difference between the reprocessing and direct disposal options is considered 
to be insignificant, and in any event, represents a negligible difference in overall 
generating cost terms. It is likely that considerations of national energy strategy 
including reactor type, environmental impact, balance of payments and public 
acceptability will play a more important role in deciding a fuel cycle policy than 
the small economic difference identified.

A contemporary OECD/NEA study on the projected costs of generating electricity 
shows that for nuclear stations the proportion of the total generating cost taken up 
by the fuel component is, typically, 15-25 per cent at 5 per cent real discount rate. 
This is in contrast to fossil-fuelled generation where coal represents, typically, 
40-60 per cent of the total cost and, typically, 70-80 per cent in the case of gas. 
Clearly, nuclear generation costs are far less sensitive to fuel price volatility 
compared with the fossil-fuelled alternatives.

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