Laka Foundation

Publication Laka-library:
Comparative costs of California Central Station electricity generation: Draft: CEC-200-2009-017-SD (2009)

AuthorCEC, J.Klein
6-01-0-10-81.pdf
DateAugust 2009
Classification 6.01.0.10/81 (COSTS)
Front

From the publication:

Abstract

The 2009 Comparative Cost of California Central Station Electricity Generation 
Technologies Report updates the levelized cost of generation estimates that were 
prepared for the 2007 Integrated Energy Policy Report (IEPR). The levelized cost 
of resource represents a constant cost per unit of generation computed to compare 
one unit’s generation cost with other resources oversimilar periods. The California 
Energy Commission staff provides revised levelized costestimates, including the 
cost assumptions for 21 central station generation technologies: 6 gas-fired, 13 
renewable, nuclear, and coal-integrated gasification combined cycle. All levelized 
costs are developed using the Energy Commission’s Cost of Generation Model.
The levelized costs are useful for evaluating the financial feasibility of a 
generationtechnology and comparing the cost of one particular energy 
technology with another.

The analysis presented in the report is an improvement over the 2007 report in five 
ways. First, the staff presents a range of levelized cost estimates (low, medium, and 
high) that can be expected for each of these technologies. The calculated range will 
allow users to consider the associated risks and uncertainties that may affect project 
development. Second, the staff examined the variables that may change in the future 
to develop a range of forward levelized cost estimates—a shortcoming identified in 
the 2007 IEPR. Third, the model nowcalculates levelized costs using a cash-flow 
accounting method for merchant projects, instead of the revenue requirement 
approach that was used for the 2007 IEPR. The revenu requirement accounting 
method can overstate the cost of alternative technologies by as much as 30 percent. 
Fourth, the staff estimates transmission transaction costs and the cost of 
transmission to the first point of interconnection. Fifth, the model has the option
to carry- forward taxes to the following years in addition to the traditional option
to take taxes in thecurrent year. This option is used herein for the high-cost case.