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Methodology for uncertainty estimations in Nureg-1150 (1987)

Auteur	Brookhaven Nat. Lab, US NRC
Datum	december 1987
Classificatie	6.01.3.70/33 (VEILIGHEID - RISICO-ANALYSES & -BELEVING)
Voorkant

INTRODUCTION

In an earlier report; (1) Brookhaven National Laboratory presented the conclusions 
of four panels that had been formed to review areas of technical uncertainty 
identified in the report NUREG-0956. (2) That review was made to assist the Nuclear 
Regulatory Commission in identifying relative importance of certain research 
programs on nuclear plant safety. The specific programs that were considered 
were directed to improving prediction of the source term following a hypothetical 
accident to a nuclear power plant.

As an extension to this endeavor, the Office of Research of NRC requested that a fifth 
panel be formed to consider the way in which uncertainty had been determined in the 
Draft NUREG-1150. (3) This was done, and the following is the report based on the 
review. NUREG-1150 was not reviewed in all its aspects; that would have been a 
much more extensive task, consuming far more than the time devoted to this one. A 
comprehensive review is ongoing, and is being done by another group. So far as was 
possible, attention was confined in the present instance to estimation of uncertainty.

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